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Risk Index · Pima County · pop 1.0M

Tucson, AZ real-estate risk

99.1
/100 · Relatively High

Tucson, AZ (Pima County) carries a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.1/100 — rated "Relatively High" — driven mainly by heat wave and wildfire, with roughly $531M in expected natural-hazard losses per year (FEMA NRI, 2025).

Hazard scores (0–100)

Heat wave
99.8
Wildfire
99.7
Riverine flood
99.5
Hail
91.8
Earthquake
91.7
Strong wind
82.6
Drought
69.6
Tornado
37.5
Hurricane
18.7

Expected annual loss

$531M/yr

all natural hazards, county-wide

Buildings-only loss

$381M/yr

the part that hits owners + insurers

What it means for insurance

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Tucson risk — FAQ

Is Tucson, AZ a high-risk area for real estate?

Tucson scores 99.1/100 on FEMA's National Risk Index — rated "Relatively High" versus all US counties. Its expected natural-hazard loss is about $531M per year.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Tucson?

The highest-rated hazard is heat wave (99.8/100), followed by wildfire (99.7/100).

How does hazard risk affect property insurance in Tucson?

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Scan a Tucson property — free

Drop in any Tucsonaddress and PropHunt's AI pulls the cap rate, comps, permit history and the full hazard/insurance read — no card required.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (Counties), v1.20 (2026-06-13). Scores are national percentiles (0–100). Insurance commentary is PropHunt's interpretation of the hazard data, not an insurance quote.

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