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Risk Index · Maricopa County · pop 4.4M

Phoenix, AZ real-estate risk

99.9
/100 · Very High

Phoenix, AZ (Maricopa County) carries a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.9/100 — rated "Very High" — driven mainly by heat wave and riverine flood, with roughly $2.2B in expected natural-hazard losses per year (FEMA NRI, 2025).

Hazard scores (0–100)

Heat wave
100
Riverine flood
99.9
Wildfire
99.6
Hail
99.5
Strong wind
99.1
Drought
97.7
Earthquake
96.8
Tornado
84
Hurricane
26.6

Expected annual loss

$2.2B/yr

all natural hazards, county-wide

Buildings-only loss

$1.2B/yr

the part that hits owners + insurers

What it means for insurance

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Phoenix risk — FAQ

Is Phoenix, AZ a high-risk area for real estate?

Phoenix scores 99.9/100 on FEMA's National Risk Index — rated "Very High" versus all US counties. Its expected natural-hazard loss is about $2.2B per year.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Phoenix?

The highest-rated hazard is heat wave (100/100), followed by riverine flood (99.9/100).

How does hazard risk affect property insurance in Phoenix?

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Scan a Phoenix property — free

Drop in any Phoenixaddress and PropHunt's AI pulls the cap rate, comps, permit history and the full hazard/insurance read — no card required.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (Counties), v1.20 (2026-06-13). Scores are national percentiles (0–100). Insurance commentary is PropHunt's interpretation of the hazard data, not an insurance quote.

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