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Risk Index · Shelby County · pop 930K

Memphis, TN real-estate risk

99.4
/100 · Relatively High

Memphis, TN (Shelby County) carries a FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.4/100 — rated "Relatively High" — driven mainly by tornado and heat wave, with roughly $555M in expected natural-hazard losses per year (FEMA NRI, 2025).

Hazard scores (0–100)

Tornado
99.8
Heat wave
99.6
Earthquake
99.5
Riverine flood
98.7
Strong wind
87.7
Wildfire
71.1
Hurricane
67.1
Drought
37
Hail
12.8

Expected annual loss

$555M/yr

all natural hazards, county-wide

Buildings-only loss

$315M/yr

the part that hits owners + insurers

What it means for insurance

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Memphis risk — FAQ

Is Memphis, TN a high-risk area for real estate?

Memphis scores 99.4/100 on FEMA's National Risk Index — rated "Relatively High" versus all US counties. Its expected natural-hazard loss is about $555M per year.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Memphis?

The highest-rated hazard is tornado (99.8/100), followed by heat wave (99.6/100).

How does hazard risk affect property insurance in Memphis?

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Scan a Memphis property — free

Drop in any Memphisaddress and PropHunt's AI pulls the cap rate, comps, permit history and the full hazard/insurance read — no card required.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (Counties), v1.20 (2026-06-13). Scores are national percentiles (0–100). Insurance commentary is PropHunt's interpretation of the hazard data, not an insurance quote.

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