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Risk Index · Erie County · pop 954K

Buffalo, NY real-estate risk

97.7
/100 · Relatively High

Buffalo, NY (Erie County) carries a FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.7/100 — rated "Relatively High" — driven mainly by riverine flood and tornado, with roughly $286M in expected natural-hazard losses per year (FEMA NRI, 2025).

Hazard scores (0–100)

Riverine flood
99
Tornado
95.4
Heat wave
95.4
Earthquake
85.8
Strong wind
80.4
Hurricane
71.3
Wildfire
62.6
Coastal flood
44.4
Hail
41.5
Drought
35.8

Expected annual loss

$286M/yr

all natural hazards, county-wide

Buildings-only loss

$212M/yr

the part that hits owners + insurers

What it means for insurance

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Buffalo risk — FAQ

Is Buffalo, NY a high-risk area for real estate?

Buffalo scores 97.7/100 on FEMA's National Risk Index — rated "Relatively High" versus all US counties. Its expected natural-hazard loss is about $286M per year.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Buffalo?

The highest-rated hazard is riverine flood (99/100), followed by tornado (95.4/100).

How does hazard risk affect property insurance in Buffalo?

Severe convective storms (tornado/hail) drive the insurance cost here — wind/hail deductibles and roof age are what underwriters price, and what's been pushing Midwest/Plains premiums up.

Scan a Buffalo property — free

Drop in any Buffaloaddress and PropHunt's AI pulls the cap rate, comps, permit history and the full hazard/insurance read — no card required.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (Counties), v1.20 (2026-06-13). Scores are national percentiles (0–100). Insurance commentary is PropHunt's interpretation of the hazard data, not an insurance quote.

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