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Risk Index · Kern County · pop 909K

Bakersfield, CA real-estate risk

98.9
/100 · Relatively High

Bakersfield, CA (Kern County) carries a FEMA National Risk Index score of 98.9/100 — rated "Relatively High" — driven mainly by wildfire and heat wave, with roughly $417M in expected natural-hazard losses per year (FEMA NRI, 2025).

Hazard scores (0–100)

Wildfire
99.7
Heat wave
99.5
Earthquake
99.4
Riverine flood
98.5
Drought
94.5
Hail
67.7
Strong wind
46
Tornado
19.8

Expected annual loss

$417M/yr

all natural hazards, county-wide

Buildings-only loss

$319M/yr

the part that hits owners + insurers

What it means for insurance

Wildfire is the binding insurance line here — top-percentile wildfire risk is exactly where carriers are non-renewing and FAIR-Plan pricing (often 2–3× admitted rates) kicks in. Underwrite a real insurance quote before the cap rate.

Bakersfield risk — FAQ

Is Bakersfield, CA a high-risk area for real estate?

Bakersfield scores 98.9/100 on FEMA's National Risk Index — rated "Relatively High" versus all US counties. Its expected natural-hazard loss is about $417M per year.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Bakersfield?

The highest-rated hazard is wildfire (99.7/100), followed by heat wave (99.5/100).

How does hazard risk affect property insurance in Bakersfield?

Wildfire is the binding insurance line here — top-percentile wildfire risk is exactly where carriers are non-renewing and FAIR-Plan pricing (often 2–3× admitted rates) kicks in. Underwrite a real insurance quote before the cap rate.

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Source: FEMA National Risk Index (Counties), v1.20 (2026-06-13). Scores are national percentiles (0–100). Insurance commentary is PropHunt's interpretation of the hazard data, not an insurance quote.

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